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A Chicago Public Schools program that set out to reel back students who hadn鈥檛 attended school a year or longer is ending 鈥� training a spotlight on both the promise and hurdles of reengaging these young people.

Since its launch during the pandemic, district leaders have touted Back to Our Future as a trailblazing initiative to reconnect with some of Chicago鈥檚 45,000 teens and young adults who are not in school or the workforce 鈥� a goal seen as key to reducing gun violence and poverty. At a price tag of $18,000 per student, the program offered a chance to catch up on high school credits, therapy, job training, and a stipend.

But the program was beset by problems from the get-go, a Chalkbeat analysis of data and correspondence shows.

Only about half of the 1,000 students the program set out to reach actively participated over the past two years 鈥� and some had not actually dropped out of high school, but had struggled with spotty attendance. Fewer than 60 have earned a high school diploma, while about 160 are currently enrolled or pursuing a GED.

Early on, recruitment proved difficult. For young people who did enroll, online credit recovery software was not yet in place, and there was no clear process for re-enrolling students back in school once they were ready to transition. Six months into the program鈥檚 launch, the state issued a formal improvement plan. More recently, it continued to voice concerns about tracking student outcomes.

Still, some argue each student served was worth the effort.

鈥淭here鈥檚 so much you don鈥檛 see if you are just looking at the numbers,鈥� said Myisha McGee, the postsecondary high school director at the nonprofit Breakthrough Ministries, one of the district鈥檚 partners.

Jadine Chou, the CPS safety and security chief, said the district knew the initiative would be challenging: It targeted young people with extremely high needs that districts across the country have often written off. For hundreds, it did offer a path to graduation, jobs, and relationships with caring adults.

鈥淭his was very hard, and yet at the same time, these students all deserved all of the effort that went into it,鈥� she said. 鈥淎nd I think over the long run, the outcome will show this was absolutely worth all of that work.鈥�

Now, the city, district, and state are in talks about launching a new version of Back to Our Future, which officials say will draw lessons from the original program. The idea is to provide even more 鈥� and more personalized 鈥� services to its participants.

The mayor鈥檚 office did not respond to multiple requests for more information about efforts to relaunch Back to Our Future.

Back to Our Future had a slow start

CPS kicked off Back to Our Future in May 2022 with an $18 million grant from the state Department of Human Services鈥� Office of Firearm Prevention and some philanthropic dollars. The goal was to reach 1,000 youth ages 14 to 21 in 15 neighborhoods on the South and West sides who had stopped going to school 18 months prior or longer.

The district enlisted three community-based nonprofits 鈥� Breakthrough, UCAN, and Youth Advocate Programs 鈥� to recruit participants and provide 20 hours of services a week over their initial 12 weeks in the program. The three signed one-year contracts for up to $20 million in total. Students would have the opportunity to get their diploma by completing a credit recovery program. Some might earn their GEDs or make their way back to a CPS school.

was another key partner, tracking and analyzing student outcomes pro bono. The lab鈥檚 research has shown that 90% of school-aged gun violence victims in Chicago were not going to school when they were shot.

Recruiting students was slow-going in 2022. One issue was that amid a push to quickly enlist participants, the district and its partners relied heavily on district lists of students who had dropped out. But contact information didn鈥檛 always work, and the outreach could feel more impersonal. More informal outreach using the nonprofits鈥� ties in the targeted neighborhoods was more effective, according to a report by Crime Lab.

Later that fall, showed that the majority of students who did enroll in the program were actively enrolled in school. That December of 2022, roughly six months after the program鈥檚 launch, the Department of Human Services put it on a corrective action plan, noting that only about 125 youth had signed up. The state also hadn鈥檛 yet seen a consistent model for running the program that all three nonprofits could follow.

CPS launched a marketing campaign on radio, social media, and CTA buses, along with other steps to boost recruitment. Enrollment in the program picked up.

But emails obtained by Chalkbeat suggest recurring friction between the district and DHS, with repeated emails in which the state demanded data and documentation on the program鈥檚 outcomes. At least at one point, the state temporarily cut off payments to the district for failure to submit required reporting on time.

In the summer of 2023, LaTanya Law, the DHS point person on the program at the time, looped in Jennifer 鈥淛en鈥� Johnson, Chicago鈥檚 deputy mayor for education, youth, and human services, in an email, saying: 鈥淗opefully we can move the needle so we can make any adjustments needed to improve the program.鈥�

Recruitment and attendance issues persisted

In early 2023, the district tried to get some outside help. The program enlisted Leo Smith, director of policy at the violence prevention nonprofit Chicago CRED, to consult on improving it.

In an interview, Smith said he agreed that the program needed a more consistent model for the three nonprofits and more of a focus on therapeutic interventions, including the cognitive behavioral therapy the program provided. Some young people stopped attending once a stipend the program offered ran out, suggesting a need to extend these payments or trail them off more gradually.

鈥淚t鈥檚 incredibly hard to find kids and engage them,鈥� he said. 鈥淏ut when you do, it can be powerful. Kids do turn their lives around.鈥�

Some of the issues with recruitment and attendance persisted, however. In July 2023, DHS and CPS officials discussed a 60-day 鈥渞eset鈥� that would involve pausing new recruitment while examining the program鈥檚 challenges and ways to improve it. The state flagged that many program participants were logging in significantly fewer than the 20 intended hours a week in the program, and many were not getting cognitive behavioral therapy and other mental health support 鈥� what Chou had described as the program鈥檚 鈥渟ecret sauce鈥� to school board members. that in the program鈥檚 first year, students logged in seven hours a week on average.

That fall, school board members voted unanimously to renew the contracts for Back to Our Future for another year. They praised the program as a move away from a punitive or at best disinterested approach to students who struggle 鈥� with little discussion of its challenges.

鈥淭his is a good example of when we are collaborative within CPS and with other public agencies, when we provide high intensity support and recognize that what students need is beyond what sometimes is available in the classroom,鈥� said Jianan Shi, then the school board president.

Ushering students to graduation was challenging

Tiana Williams, 19, said Breakthrough reached out to her family in spring 2023 to pitch the program to her sister, who was not interested. Williams was not exactly the program鈥檚 target audience: She was in her senior year at Pathways in Education, an alternative high school. But she was looking at the possibility of doing summer school to finish her studies, and found out she could do that in the Back to Our Future program instead 鈥� and receive a stipend while she was at it.

鈥淚 am a teenager who wants to make money but also stay focused on school,鈥� she said. 鈥淭he weekly stipend might not seem like much but it helped a lot.鈥�

She said she liked the online credit recovery program 鈥� earning her handful of remaining credits at her own pace, in a smaller, more intimate setting, and eventually graduating. She also took arts and music classes and went on field trips, such as a visit to Malcolm X College.

Williams said she is in between jobs now after working at Walmart following the program, and she is considering applying to college.

But Crime Lab鈥檚 report found the credit recovery software was not a good fit for most students without robust in-person support.

Indeed, it doesn鈥檛 appear CPS had a clear plan for shepherding the students to their high school graduation, beyond the online program. Even that program wasn鈥檛 in place at first. Chicago Public Schools provided it to Breakthrough some two months after participants started arriving. That meant some were at the end of their 12 weeks of receiving a stipend when they started making up credits.

Documents show the district would not formally spell out a process for Back to Our Future referrals to alternative high schools 鈥� essentially ensuring that both nonprofits and schools were prepared to provide a smooth transition for students 鈥� until January 2024, more than 18 months after the start of the program.

Officials at one network of alternative high schools, Youth Connection Charter School, had been frustrated that the district did not engage it in the program from the get-go. Some of these schools had seen enrollment plummet during the pandemic, and re-enrolling dropouts through the program could give them a boost.

In the late fall of 2023, some Breakthrough students enrolled in a couple of the network鈥檚 campuses, most through a connection the nonprofit happened to have with one of them. But the schools didn鈥檛 know much about the program; it didn鈥檛 make for the smoothest handoff, said Sheila Venson, the network鈥檚 head.

Then, Venson said, a principal at one of the schools was invited to a graduation ceremony the district hosted for Williams and 17 other Back to Our Future students. With TV cameras trained on them, the students 鈥� wearing moss-green caps and gowns 鈥� walked across a stage and later flipped tassels on their caps to raucous cheers.

鈥淲e are so excited for the graduation today because every single young person who walked across the stage today completed the program, but even more importantly got a CPS diploma,鈥� Chou told attendees.

But Venson said that the YCCS principal was confused: 鈥淲hy are these kids in the booklet as graduating? They are not graduating. They are still with us.鈥�

Chicago Public Schools said the 18 students in that ceremony had earned enough credits to graduate but had not yet met other senior requirements, such as attending a senior seminar, completing their senior portfolio, or filling out the FAFSA form. All but one have since done so and gotten their diplomas, the district said.

Days after the release of , Crime Lab pulled out of the program, though a data analyst stayed on past that point. Crime Lab said the decision came after a conversation with CPS about 鈥渢he highest-priority activities and partnerships needed for the program to be successful.鈥�

The program took on an important challenge, Crime Lab said in written responses to questions. It also said that verything from youth concerns about safety to scheduling conflicts with jobs and caretaking got in the way of getting a diploma through the program. But one thing is clear: To help improve youth outcomes and reduce gun violence, helping them graduate from high school 鈥� which markedly reduces a young person鈥檚 odds of incarceration 鈥� is key.

Overall, CPS said, 636 students agreed to take part in the program over its two years. About 100 dropped out, though the district and its partners continue trying to reengage them. Some moved or signed up for other youth programs; 10 were incarcerated, and four died. One hundred and fifty remain connected to the program with 鈥渋ntermittent participation鈥� while 73 are still actively involved in it. Almost 40 landed permanent jobs. The district did not specify, but based on previous data it provided to the state, the majority of the 58 students who graduated got their diplomas at alternative high schools.

Chou said there were never conflicts with the partner agencies on the program and both the state Department of Human Services and Crime Lab remain close collaborators.

She noted that some of the participants were younger and behind on credits, so they understandably need longer to finish their studies; others were older and had aged out of CPS. Still, for some, the program accomplished the tough task of reconnecting them to school. The district also got valuable input from students on why they disconnected that will help the district鈥檚 efforts to prevent dropout.

鈥淪tudents told us, 鈥業 was made to feel like I couldn鈥檛 succeed,鈥� and to hear that over and over again from the students we are here to serve is a very important lesson for the district,鈥� Chou said.

鈥楳any improvements we want to make鈥�

Shyvone Leeks said her son was also attending school and had largely completed his high school credits when he applied for the program. After his probation officer recommended it, the family agreed it might offer a positive, supportive environment while he worked out his next steps.

鈥淚t was something different,鈥� she said. 鈥淚 told him he might as well try it out.鈥�

Her son loved the program, Leeks said: He felt safe there and made friends. The stipend was a draw for him and for several friends he helped recruit to Back to Our Future. After the stipend ended, he found a restaurant job. But he recently was arrested on a weapon violation and incarcerated.

鈥淚t was a good program,鈥� Leeks said. 鈥淚 just wish it was a little longer.鈥�

The state did not extend its contract with CPS to continue the program after it ended back in June. In the program鈥檚 first year, the state granted $8.1 million, which was later reduced; the district submitted invoices for $2.2 million. In the second year, the district spent about $5.5 million of another $8.1 million grant.

A state spokeswoman said the contract for the program simply ended when it was slated to end.

鈥淥ur dedication to this effort is unwavering, and we are optimistic about the future possibilities for continuing the type of impactful work initiated through the Back to Our Future program,鈥� the spokeswoman said in a statement.

In May, CPS officials told the school board that the district would wind down the program, using philanthropic dollars to ensure that students in the program could finish it out. They said they were discussing a new version of the program with city officials, who see reengaging dropouts as a key violence reduction strategy.

McGee, Breakthrough鈥檚 postsecondary high school director, said the Garfield Park nonprofit continues to serve some students in a scaled-back program with private funding, though it no longer offers stipends 鈥� and hopes to be involved in its next version.

鈥淚 think despite the slow start, the program was very, very beneficial to the students who participated,鈥� she said. 鈥淲e are honestly changing their trajectory.鈥�

Twenty-two Breakthrough students graduated from Progressive Leadership Academy, a YCCS campus. Another student got a degree through the online credit recovery program, and one earned a GED. Five are attending CPS this fall.

McGee holds up Alonte Wilson, a student about efforts to reengage youth, as an example of a young person who turned his life around. He came to the program after dropping out, getting shot, and later getting arrested. He graduated and now works as a teacher assistant at Breakthrough and is a role model for younger students, McGee said.

She said she wishes there were a number of campuses that had been prepared to seamlessly enroll returning students, including some schools closer to the Garfield Park neighborhood than the Southwest Side alternative school.

The new version of Back to Our Future might still use an online credit recovery program 鈥� a promising option for students who can鈥檛 safely go back to school or don鈥檛 want to go back 鈥� but paired this time with more individualized mentoring and academic support, Smith of CRED said. The cost of the new program might be closer to $25,000 per student.

Chou said the end of state funding presented an opportunity to pause and rethink some aspects of the program. For instance, she now believes the program should broaden the definition of the students it targets, to include some chronically absent students. The program should also be better prepared to help with a range of needs, including housing and child care. She said she believes the district will continue to play a key role.

鈥淚 don鈥檛 want to keep feeding into the current version of it when we know there鈥檚 so many improvements we want to make,鈥� she said.

Chalkbeat is a nonprofit news site covering educational change in public schools.

They included ninth graders who didn鈥檛 earn any credits in their first semester and those who should have been in 10th grade, but were out of school for a year.

鈥淵ou don鈥檛 normally refer younger kids to dropout recovery,鈥� Franco said. 鈥淪ome of them are like, 鈥榃hat鈥檚 a credit?鈥欌�� 

Those students who were held back are among the reasons Texas saw a 9% increase in its freshman class this year, more than four times the state鈥檚 annual growth rate prior to the pandemic. 

That pattern has been demonstrated in more than a dozen states, according to enrollment data compiled by Burbio, an information services company, and shared exclusively with 社区黑料.

The new data, from 35 states and the District of Columbia, adds to the complicated picture of students鈥� comings and goings during the COVID era. With many young children who delayed pre-K and kindergarten during school closures now flooding back into the education system, an enrollment surge in the early grades was expected. But 15 states and D.C. saw growth in ninth grade of at least 5% compared to 2020-21, and in a few states, including New Mexico and North Carolina, the increase in freshmen far outpaced that of kindergartners. 

While the return of families to public schools contributed to growth in ninth grade this year, retention rates have nearly doubled in some states and districts, and educators don鈥檛 expect next year to be much better. 

鈥淲e鈥檙e a generation that鈥檚 going to have people with two-year holes in their education,鈥� said Jeffrey Cole, principal at Winston County High, a rural Alabama school about midway between Huntsville and Birmingham.

If freshmen only fail two quarters, Cole usually moves them on to 10th grade. But for the first time in his 19 years as principal, he has students failing all four quarters. He thinks they should have stayed in eighth grade. Across the state, enrollment in ninth grade has jumped at a much higher rate than before the pandemic.

Districts often see a 鈥渂ulge鈥� in freshman year when students don鈥檛 pass enough classes to move on, said Eric Wearne, director of the Education Economics Center at Kennesaw State University, outside Atlanta. But he added it鈥檚 not a surprise COVID disruptions and remote learning made matters much worse.

鈥淪tudents were in ninth grade,鈥� he said, 鈥渁nd the COVID situation was so tough that more of them than usual didn’t earn enough credits to be considered 10^th graders yet.”

Retention data in some states and districts back that up. Figures from last fall show that 18% of ninth graders in the Houston Independent School District repeated the year, significantly higher than the district鈥檚 pre-pandemic rate of 10%. And in North Carolina, more than 16% of last year鈥檚 freshman class was retained 鈥� roughly double the rate of past years. District officials from rural Maryland to Albuquerque, New Mexico, also saw higher retention rates this year.

The majority of states where ninth grade enrollment surpassed 5% are concentrated in the South, where they have 鈥渨ell-defined promotion criteria鈥� for freshmen, such as end-of-course exams, explained Robert Balfanz, who directs the Everyone Graduates Center at Johns Hopkins University. Such policies were widely implemented in the early 2000s at the start of the accountability-driven No Child Left Behind era, but have since been suspended in many states.

What hasn鈥檛 changed, he said, is that students still need to earn enough credits to graduate.

鈥淚t鈥檚 the long tail of the pandemic,鈥� he said. 鈥淭his will impact graduation rates three years from now.”

He added that during remote learning, high school students were more likely to have assignments without live instruction and had to 鈥渟elf-manage getting the work done.鈥� With many high schools canceling orientation in the fall of 2020, he said rising ninth graders might not have fully understood the consequences of failing a class.

鈥楩ell off the radar鈥�

The retention increase is one example of how the pandemic has altered existing patterns that enrollment forecasters use to help districts plan for the future. In his work with school districts, Jerry Oelerich, a senior analyst at the consulting company Flo-Analytics, accounts for the fact that 2007 鈥� when most of this year鈥檚 ninth graders were born 鈥� was a for births. That alone, however, doesn鈥檛 fully explain the big increases some states are seeing in ninth grade, Oelerich said. 

Private school enrollment and also grew last year. But students often return to traditional high schools to play sports. And many parents decide they鈥檙e not cut out to teach high schoolers. 

鈥淭heir expertise kind of runs out,鈥� said Kent Martin, a senior analyst at Flo-Analytics and a former teacher and administrator in Washington state. 鈥淵ou really need to be a content expert, like a teacher.鈥�

Ronn Nozoe, CEO at the National Association of Secondary School Principals, said it makes sense that with schools predominantly open this year, families who opted for private schools would return and 鈥渟ave their money.鈥�

鈥淭here are a lot of kids who fell off the radar,鈥� Nozoe said. 鈥淚f you鈥檙e going to move back in, you want to start that in ninth 鈥� not 10th, 11th or 12th.鈥�

That鈥檚 what Virginia mother Kate O鈥橦arra decided after she pulled her son Jack Mulhall out of the Loudoun County district last year and enrolled him in Stride (formerly K12), a national network of virtual schools, for eighth grade. 

鈥淗e didn鈥檛 do terrible,鈥� even though O鈥橦arra, a pilates instructor, and her husband, an IT professional, weren鈥檛 always available to help him with schoolwork. When schools closed, Jack was on his way to overcoming some of the scatteredness that comes with his ADHD. But the district’s remote learning program, which O’Harra described as “a complete and utter failure,” interrupted that progress.

鈥淲e were in a good place pre-COVID. Now it鈥檚 all over the map.鈥�

The affluent suburb has been at the center of several over the rights of transgender students and the use of so-called 鈥渃ritical race theory.鈥� But Jack鈥檚 desire to return to school with his friends and her wish for a normal school structure convinced O鈥橦arra to return to the district for ninth grade.

Still, the move hasn鈥檛 solved everything for Jack, now at Woodgrove High School. 

鈥淲e went into 9^th grade very unprepared,鈥� said his mother, adding that after a year of remote learning, he struggles with some social cues, like not knowing how to take a joke. 

Jack said his only contact with friends during eighth grade was playing 鈥淐all of Duty,鈥� and the one person he met virtually through Stride was his math teacher. He鈥檚 still missing some organizational skills and fell behind in Spanish and earth science. He鈥檒l start next year with a tutor.

鈥淚 didn鈥檛 really have assignments for science [in eighth grade]. I was left drifting without any knowledge,鈥� he said. But back in a traditional school, Jack plays football and lacrosse and said, 鈥淚 can actually see and talk to my teachers in real life.鈥� 

Nationwide in Stride dropped slightly this year 鈥� down to 187,000 from 189,400 last year, but still well above the pre-pandemic figure of about 123,000. 

Virtual programs are another reason some district鈥檚 ninth grade classes are swelling. The Mecklenburg County Public Schools in Virginia, a rural district not far from the North Carolina state line, offered a virtual option through Stride so parents still concerned about COVID wouldn鈥檛 withdraw their children to homeschool and the district wouldn鈥檛 lose funding. 

The virtual program boosted ninth grade enrollment from 337 in 2020-21 to 609 this year. But Superintendent Paul Nichols has regrets and suggested that remote instruction shares some of the blame for students veering off track.

鈥淲e will offer no virtual education options for students next year,鈥� he said. 鈥淲e are concerned that most of them have not completed much, if any, actual academic work.鈥�